This week, the European Central Bank (ECB) will decide whether to cut interest rates, with the general consensus being that rates will remain unchanged at 4.25%. Although Eurozone inflation has been stable, it hasn’t yet reached the ECB’s target level.

Many anticipate a rate cut at the ECB’s next meeting in September, contingent on upcoming inflation CPI numbers for July and August, as well as Q2 data release on wages, productivity, and corporate profits, which will help determine if labour costs align with the ECB’s forecasts.
“Over the past month, both the 1Y EURIBOR and 1Y ESTR swap rates have declined, as illustrated in the graph, suggesting that a rate cut in the Eurozone is likely in the near future.” Ian Sams, Head of Product – EMEA.

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