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Interest rate and FX updates: March 2026
By Jessica Kalaria
16 Mar 2026
Business update
TraditionData nominated in two market data categories for the TradingTech Insight Awards USA 2026
By TraditionData
11 Mar 2026
Credit & Fixed Income
Measuring rate cut probabilities ahead of the next FOMC meeting
By Jake Harmon
10 Mar 2026
Market Data
Spectre of stagflation
By Steven Major CFA - Global Macro Advisor, Tradition
The European Gasoline (EBOB) crack to Brent front-month swap closed last week at $14.99/Barrel, up $2.07/Barrel since the start of the month and more than 50% higher since the start of the year.Similarly, the US Gasoline benchmark (RBOB) has seen crack spreads versus Brent rise by almost 40% since January.
Global gasoline refinery margins remain robust, supported by ongoing refinery maintenance and low inventory levels, particularly in the US, where the latest official data show a drawdown of 4.7 million barrels, the sharpest weekly decline year-to-date.
In Europe, refinery outages have also put the market under strain. Notably, the Dangote refinery in Nigeria – owned by Aliko Dangote with a capacity of 650,000 Barrel/day – has experienced unexpected maintenance this year, along with multiple sabotage attempts.
“The TraditionData EBOB Gasoline Crack chart below illustrates how the market has strengthened since the beginning of October reaching levels seen in summer, despite the seasonal decline in gasoline demand following the driving season.” Francesca Marrone, E&C Product Manager.
In such a volatile and rapidly evolving market, timely and independent data has never been more critical. TraditionData’s real-time and end-of-day Gasoline & Refined Products data packages provide market participants with actionable insights, helping them navigate shifting trade flows, manage risk exposure, and make confident, informed trading decisions.
Full product coverage and forward curves that provide visibility into the world’s oil markets.
Energy & Commodities
Oil markets reprice geopolitical risk amid Gulf disruptions
By Francesca Marrone
4 Mar 2026
The “giant slalom” of the yield curve: Navigating the 10Y-2Y vs. 10Y-3M divergence
By Akshay Gupta
23 Feb 2026
Gold outlook for 2026
17 Feb 2026
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